TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim58%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 58%
- Draw 25%
- 1. FC Koln 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 57.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LWDLW
1. FC Koln: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1. FC Koln vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 3–2 |
| 2026-02-21 | 1. FC Koln vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-03 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln | 0–1 |
| 2024-02-11 | Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-16 | 1. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim | 1–3 |
| 2023-04-22 | Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln | 1–3 |
| 2022-10-30 | 1. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-06 | 1. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-15 | Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln | 5–0 |
| 2021-01-24 | Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln?
- Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.