TSG 1899 Hoffenheim crestTSG 1899 Hoffenheimvs1. FC Koln crest1. FC Koln

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim58%

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 58%
  • Draw 25%
  • 1. FC Koln 17%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 57.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LWDLW

1. FC Koln: WWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-291. FC Koln vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
2026-02-211. FC Koln vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim2–2
2025-10-03TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln0–1
2024-02-11Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2023-09-161. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim1–3
2023-04-22Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln1–3
2022-10-301. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim1–1
2022-03-061. FC Koln vs Hoffenheim0–1
2021-10-15Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln5–0
2021-01-24Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln?
Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

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