Hertha BSC Berlin crestHertha BSC Berlinvs1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05

Hertha BSC Berlin 1-1 1.FSV Mainz 05 — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sat, 11 Mar 2023 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0544%

Tofiko32% / 24% / 44%
Market34% / 27% / 39%
  • Hertha BSC Berlin
  • Draw
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 44.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Hertha BSC Berlin: WWWWD

1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.17Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-03-11Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–1
2022-09-161.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC Berlin1–1
2022-05-07Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–2
2021-12-141.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC Berlin4–0
2021-05-031.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC Berlin1–1
2020-12-15Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 050–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
Sat, 11 Mar 2023 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.17 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFSV Mainz 05 1-1 Hertha BSC16 Sept 2022 →