Holstein Kielvs
1.FSV Mainz 05Holstein Kiel 0-3 1.FSV Mainz 05 — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sun, 24 Nov 2024 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0544%
- Holstein Kiel
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 44.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Holstein Kiel won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Holstein Kiel: DLDLW
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel | 3–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Holstein Kiel vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Holstein Kiel vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sun, 24 Nov 2024 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the Holstein Kiel vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.