1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05vsHolstein Kiel crestHolstein Kiel

1.FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 05 Apr 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0560%

Tofiko60% / 20% / 19%
Market66% / 20% / 14%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05
  • Draw
  • Holstein Kiel

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 60.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

Holstein Kiel: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-251.FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel3–0
2025-04-051.FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel1–1
2024-11-24Holstein Kiel vs 1.FSV Mainz 050–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel?
Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
Sat, 05 Apr 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legHolstein Kiel 0-3 FSV Mainz 0524 Nov 2024 →