1. FC Union Berlinvs
Holstein Kiel1. FC Union Berlin 0-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sun, 02 Mar 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin58%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 58%
- Draw 21%
- Holstein Kiel 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 57.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
- Sun, 02 Mar 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.