1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union BerlinvsHolstein Kiel crestHolstein Kiel

1. FC Union Berlin 0-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sun, 02 Mar 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin58%

Tofiko58% / 21% / 21%
Market63% / 21% / 16%
  • 1. FC Union Berlin
  • Draw
  • Holstein Kiel

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 57.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW

Holstein Kiel: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-021. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel0–1
2024-10-20Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union Berlin0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
Sun, 02 Mar 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legHolstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin20 Oct 2024 →