SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgvsArminia Bielefeld crestArminia Bielefeld

SC Freiburg 2-2 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 08 Jan 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Freiburg61%

  • SC Freiburg 61%
  • Draw 24%
  • Arminia Bielefeld 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 60.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and SC Freiburg won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • SC Freiburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

SC Freiburg: WWWWW

Arminia Bielefeld: LDWLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-01-08SC Freiburg vs Arminia Bielefeld2–2
2021-08-14Arminia Bielefeld vs SC Freiburg0–0
2021-04-09Arminia Bielefeld vs SC Freiburg1–0
2020-12-12SC Freiburg vs Arminia Bielefeld2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Freiburg vs Arminia Bielefeld kick off?
Sat, 08 Jan 2022 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the SC Freiburg vs Arminia Bielefeld head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

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