1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union BerlinvsGreuther Furth crestGreuther Furth

1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 Greuther Furth — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Fri, 29 Apr 2022 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin68%

  • 1. FC Union Berlin 68%
  • Draw 19%
  • Greuther Furth 13%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 68.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD

Greuther Furth: WLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-291. FC Union Berlin vs Greuther Furth1–1
2021-12-12Greuther Furth vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Greuther Furth?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Greuther Furth kick off?
Fri, 29 Apr 2022 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Greuther Furth head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.