1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 Greuther Furth — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2021-2022Fri, 29 Apr 2022 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin68%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 68%
- Draw 19%
- Greuther Furth 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 68.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD
Greuther Furth: WLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-29 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Greuther Furth | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-12 | Greuther Furth vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Greuther Furth?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Greuther Furth kick off?
- Fri, 29 Apr 2022 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Greuther Furth head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.