Birmingham City F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Birmingham City F.C.39%
- Birmingham City F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Birmingham City F.C. or draw67%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.61%
- Birmingham City F.C. or Derby County F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- Birmingham City F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Birmingham City F.C., rating it at 38.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Birmingham City F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Birmingham City F.C.: WWDWL
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Birmingham City F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.