Birmingham City F.C. crestBirmingham City F.C.vsDerby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.

Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Birmingham City F.C.39%

Tofiko39% / 28% / 33%
  • Birmingham City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Derby County F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Birmingham City F.C., rating it at 38.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Birmingham City F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Birmingham City F.C.: DWLDD

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C.1–2
2026-03-21Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C.1–0
2025-12-26Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Birmingham City F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
Sat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legDerby 1-2 Birmingham12 Sept 2026 →