Derby County F.C.vs
Birmingham City F.C.Derby County F.C. 1-2 Birmingham City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 12 Sep 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.44%
Tofiko44% / 25% / 32%
Market28% / 28% / 44%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Birmingham City F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 43.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Birmingham City F.C.: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Birmingham City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.