Bolton Wanderers F.C. crestBolton Wanderers F.C.vsCardiff City F.C. crestCardiff City F.C.

Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 12 Sep 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.40%

  • Bolton Wanderers F.C. 40%
  • Draw 23%
  • Cardiff City F.C. 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 40.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bolton Wanderers F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

Bolton Wanderers F.C.: LLLLD

Cardiff City F.C.: DLLDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Cardiff City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.2–0
2025-10-25Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureCardiff vs Bolton13 Feb 2027 →