Burnley F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 13 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Burnley F.C.43%
Tofiko43% / 25% / 32%
Market59% / 24% / 17%
- Burnley F.C.
- Draw
- Charlton Athletic F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Burnley F.C. or draw68%
- Draw or Charlton Athletic F.C.57%
- Burnley F.C. or Charlton Athletic F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Burnley F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- Charlton Athletic F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 52% · No 48%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Burnley F.C., rating it at 43.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
Burnley F.C.: WDLDL
Charlton Athletic F.C.: DLDDL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Burnley F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 13 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.