Cardiff City F.C. crestCardiff City F.C.vsWatford F.C. crestWatford F.C.

Cardiff City F.C. vs Watford F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipTue, 13 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cardiff City F.C.48%

Tofiko48% / 24% / 28%
Market57% / 22% / 21%
  • Cardiff City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Watford F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Cardiff City F.C. or draw72%
  • Draw or Watford F.C.52%
  • Cardiff City F.C. or Watford F.C.76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.551%
  • Under 2.549%

Both teams to score

  • Cardiff City F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Watford F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
  • Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 63% · No 37%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 48.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026.

Cardiff City F.C.: LWLDL

Watford F.C.: LLLWL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Cardiff City F.C. vs Watford F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cardiff City F.C. vs Watford F.C. kick off?
Tue, 13 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureWatford vs Cardiff16 Feb 2027 →