Stoke City F.C.vs
Middlesbrough F.C.Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 13 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.49%
- Stoke City F.C. 21%
- Draw 30%
- Middlesbrough F.C. 49%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 42 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Stoke City F.C.: LDLLW
Middlesbrough F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 42 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 13 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.