Stoke City F.C.vs
Middlesbrough F.C.Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 13 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.42%
- Stoke City F.C.
- Draw
- Middlesbrough F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Stoke City F.C. or draw58%
- Draw or Middlesbrough F.C.67%
- Stoke City F.C. or Middlesbrough F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- Stoke City F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Middlesbrough F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 59% · No 41%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 41.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Stoke City F.C.: WWWDW
Middlesbrough F.C.: WDDWL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 13 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.