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Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsMiddlesbrough F.C. crestMiddlesbrough F.C.

Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipTue, 13 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.49%

Stoke City F.C. 21%
Draw 30%
Middlesbrough F.C. 49%
  • Stoke City F.C. 21%
  • Draw 30%
  • Middlesbrough F.C. 49%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Stoke City F.C.: DWWDL

Middlesbrough F.C.: WDLDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-21Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.1–2
2025-09-30Middlesbrough F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
Tue, 13 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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