Bristol City crestBristol CityvsBurnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.

Bristol City vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bristol City44%

Tofiko44% / 27% / 30%
  • Bristol City
  • Draw
  • Burnley F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Bristol City or draw70%
  • Draw or Burnley F.C.56%
  • Bristol City or Burnley F.C.73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.546%
  • Under 2.554%

Both teams to score

  • Bristol City, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Burnley F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Bristol City, rating it at 43.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Bristol City won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Burnley F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Bristol City's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bristol City: LDWWL

Burnley F.C.: DWDLD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Bristol City vs Burnley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bristol City (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bristol City vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Bristol City vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBurnley 1-2 Bristol City5 Sept 2026 →