Burnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.vsBristol City crestBristol City

Burnley F.C. 1-2 Bristol City — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bristol City48%

  • Burnley F.C. 32%
  • Draw 20%
  • Bristol City 48%
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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bristol City, rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Burnley F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

Burnley F.C.: LDLDL

Bristol City: WWWDL

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City?
Tofiko's model favours Bristol City (48% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureBristol City vs Burnley10 Apr 2027 →