Burnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.vsBristol City crestBristol City

Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bristol City43%

  • Burnley F.C. 35%
  • Draw 22%
  • Bristol City 43%
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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bristol City, rating it at 42.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Burnley F.C.: LDLDD

Bristol City: WDLLD

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City?
Tofiko's model favours Bristol City (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.

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