Burnley F.C. 1-2 Bristol City — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bristol City48%
- Burnley F.C. 32%
- Draw 20%
- Bristol City 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bristol City, rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Burnley F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Burnley F.C.: LDLDL
Bristol City: WWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City?
- Tofiko's model favours Bristol City (48% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs Bristol City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.