Bristol Cityvs
Derby County F.C.Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 24 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bristol City37%
- Bristol City
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Bristol City or draw64%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.63%
- Bristol City or Derby County F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Bristol City, last 10 home games3 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bristol City, rating it at 36.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Bristol City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Bristol City: LDWWL
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. | 0–5 |
| 2025-08-22 | Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bristol City vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Bristol City (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.