Bristol City crestBristol CityvsDerby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.

Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 24 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bristol City37%

Tofiko37% / 28% / 36%
  • Bristol City
  • Draw
  • Derby County F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bristol City, rating it at 36.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bristol City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 212 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bristol City: WLLWW

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 212 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-30Bristol City vs Derby County F.C.0–5
2025-08-22Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Bristol City vs Derby County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bristol City (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
Sat, 24 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureDerby vs Bristol City9 Dec 2026 →