Derby County F.C.vs
Bristol CityDerby County F.C. vs Bristol City Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipWed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.49%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Bristol City
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Derby County F.C. or draw75%
- Draw or Bristol City51%
- Derby County F.C. or Bristol City74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Derby County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Bristol City, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 49.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Bristol City: LDWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. | 0–5 |
| 2025-08-22 | Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City kick off?
- Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.