Derby County F.C.vs
Bristol CityDerby County F.C. vs Bristol City Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipWed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.49%
- Derby County F.C. 49%
- Draw 26%
- Bristol City 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 49.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Derby County F.C.: DLWLL
Bristol City: LDDWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Bristol City vs Derby County F.C. | 0–5 |
| 2025-08-22 | Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City kick off?
- Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Bristol City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.