Bristol Cityvs
Middlesbrough F.C.Bristol City vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.44%
- Bristol City
- Draw
- Middlesbrough F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Bristol City or draw56%
- Draw or Middlesbrough F.C.73%
- Bristol City or Middlesbrough F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- Bristol City, last 10 home games3 of 10
- Middlesbrough F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 44.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Bristol City won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Middlesbrough F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Bristol City's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Middlesbrough F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 115 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Bristol City: LDWWL
Middlesbrough F.C.: WWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 115 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Bristol City | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Bristol City vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bristol City vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Bristol City vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Bristol City vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.