Middlesbrough F.C.vs
Bristol CityMiddlesbrough F.C. vs Bristol City Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.56%
- Middlesbrough F.C.
- Draw
- Bristol City
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Middlesbrough F.C. or draw82%
- Draw or Bristol City44%
- Middlesbrough F.C. or Bristol City75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Middlesbrough F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Bristol City, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 56.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Middlesbrough F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Middlesbrough F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Bristol City's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Middlesbrough F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Middlesbrough F.C.: WWDDW
Bristol City: LDWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Bristol City | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Bristol City vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Middlesbrough F.C. vs Bristol City?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Middlesbrough F.C. vs Bristol City kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Middlesbrough F.C. vs Bristol City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.