Norwich Cityvs
Southampton F.C.Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipWed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.43%
- Norwich City
- Draw
- Southampton F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Norwich City or draw57%
- Draw or Southampton F.C.65%
- Norwich City or Southampton F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Norwich City, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Southampton F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 67% · No 33%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 42.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Norwich City won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Southampton F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
Norwich City: LLLLW
Southampton F.C.: WLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Southampton F.C. vs Norwich City | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-25 | Southampton vs Norwich City | 2–0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Norwich City vs Southampton | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Norwich City vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.