Norwich City crestNorwich CityvsSouthampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.

Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipWed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.42%

Tofiko31% / 26% / 42%
  • Norwich City
  • Draw
  • Southampton F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 42.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Norwich City won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Southampton F.C.'s 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Norwich City: LLLWW

Southampton F.C.: LWWDD

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-18Southampton F.C. vs Norwich City1–0
2025-12-13Norwich City vs Southampton F.C.2–1
2022-02-25Southampton vs Norwich City2–0
2021-11-20Norwich City vs Southampton2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Norwich City vs Southampton F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSouthampton vs Norwich17 Feb 2027 →