Cardiff City F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Cardiff City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 02 Mar 2027 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cardiff City F.C.62%
- Cardiff City F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Cardiff City F.C. or draw83%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.38%
- Cardiff City F.C. or Derby County F.C.79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.563%
- Under 2.537%
Both teams to score
- Cardiff City F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 62.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Cardiff City F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Cardiff City F.C.: WLWLD
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Derby County F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cardiff City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cardiff City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 02 Mar 2027 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Cardiff City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.