Coventry Cityvs
Middlesbrough F.C.Coventry City vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipMon, 16 Feb 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Coventry City 3–1 Middlesbrough F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Coventry City55%
- Coventry City 55%
- Draw 22%
- Middlesbrough F.C. 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Coventry City, rating it at 55.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Coventry City won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Coventry City: DLWWW
Middlesbrough F.C.: WDLDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Coventry City vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-11-25 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Coventry City | 2–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Coventry City vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Coventry City (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Coventry City vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Mon, 16 Feb 2026 20:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Coventry City vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.