Queens Park Rangers F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipWed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Queens Park Rangers F.C.45%
- Queens Park Rangers F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Queens Park Rangers F.C. or draw68%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.55%
- Queens Park Rangers F.C. or Derby County F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Queens Park Rangers F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 55% · No 45%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Queens Park Rangers F.C., rating it at 44.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Queens Park Rangers F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Queens Park Rangers F.C.: DDDDL
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Derby County F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Queens Park Rangers F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.