Coventry Cityvs
Wrexham A.F.C.Coventry City vs Wrexham A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSun, 26 Apr 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Coventry City 3–1 Wrexham A.F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Coventry City64%
- Coventry City 64%
- Draw 19%
- Wrexham A.F.C. 18%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Coventry City, rating it at 63.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Coventry City won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Coventry City's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Wrexham A.F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Coventry City: DLWWW
Wrexham A.F.C.: LLLWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Coventry City vs Wrexham A.F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Wrexham A.F.C. vs Coventry City | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Coventry City vs Wrexham A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Coventry City (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Coventry City vs Wrexham A.F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 26 Apr 2026 11:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Coventry City vs Wrexham A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.