Derby County F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 20 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.50%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Burnley F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Derby County F.C. or draw75%
- Draw or Burnley F.C.50%
- Derby County F.C. or Burnley F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Derby County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Burnley F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 50.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Derby County F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Burnley F.C.: DWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Burnley F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 20 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.