Burnley F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Burnley F.C. 1-1 Derby County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.43%
Tofiko35% / 22% / 43%
Market52% / 25% / 23%
- Burnley F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Derby County F.C., rating it at 43.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Burnley F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
Burnley F.C.: DLDLD
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Burnley F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.