Derby County F.C.vs
Charlton Athletic F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.56%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Charlton Athletic F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Derby County F.C. or draw82%
- Draw or Charlton Athletic F.C.44%
- Derby County F.C. or Charlton Athletic F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- Derby County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Charlton Athletic F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 56.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Charlton Athletic F.C.: DDLDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-20 | Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.