Derby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.vsCharlton Athletic F.C. crestCharlton Athletic F.C.

Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Derby County F.C.56%

Tofiko56% / 26% / 18%
  • Derby County F.C.
  • Draw
  • Charlton Athletic F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 56.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 164 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Charlton Athletic F.C.: LDDLD

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 164 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-15Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C.2–1
2026-01-20Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C.1–2
2025-09-30Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. kick off?
Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legCharlton 2-1 Derby15 Aug 2026 →