Charlton Athletic F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Charlton Athletic F.C. 2-1 Derby County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 15 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.41%
Tofiko34% / 25% / 41%
Market35% / 30% / 35%
- Charlton Athletic F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Derby County F.C., rating it at 41.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Charlton Athletic F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Charlton Athletic F.C.: LDDLD
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-20 | Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.