Derby County F.C.vs
Charlton Athletic F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.56%
- Derby County F.C. 56%
- Draw 26%
- Charlton Athletic F.C. 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 186 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: LDLLD
Charlton Athletic F.C.: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 186 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-20 | Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.