Derby County F.C.vs
Ipswich Town F.C.Derby County F.C. 1-2 Ipswich Town F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 07 Feb 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Ipswich Town F.C.41%
- Derby County F.C. 36%
- Draw 23%
- Ipswich Town F.C. 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Ipswich Town F.C., rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Ipswich Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Derby County F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Ipswich Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Derby County F.C.: WLDLL
Ipswich Town F.C.: LWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Derby County F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Ipswich Town F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Ipswich Town F.C. (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 07 Feb 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.