Derby County F.C.vs
Middlesbrough F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 16 Mar 2027 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.39%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Middlesbrough F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 38.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Middlesbrough F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Derby County F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Middlesbrough F.C.: DDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Derby County F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 16 Mar 2027 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.