Middlesbrough F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Middlesbrough F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.52%
- Middlesbrough F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 52.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Middlesbrough F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Middlesbrough F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Derby County F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 72 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Middlesbrough F.C.: DDWLW
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 72 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Derby County F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Middlesbrough F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Middlesbrough F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Middlesbrough F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.