Derby County F.C.vs
Portsmouth F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 20 Apr 2027 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.56%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Portsmouth F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Derby County F.C. or draw80%
- Draw or Portsmouth F.C.44%
- Derby County F.C. or Portsmouth F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Derby County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Portsmouth F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 55.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Derby County F.C. won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Portsmouth F.C.: LDDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Portsmouth F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2026-03-16 | Portsmouth F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Derby County F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 20 Apr 2027 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.