Portsmouth F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Portsmouth F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipTue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.42%
- Portsmouth F.C. 30%
- Draw 28%
- Derby County F.C. 42%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Derby County F.C., rating it at 42.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Portsmouth F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Portsmouth F.C.: DDDLD
Derby County F.C.: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Portsmouth F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Derby County F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Portsmouth F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Portsmouth F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Portsmouth F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.