Derby County F.C.vs
Queens Park Rangers F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 16 Feb 2027 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.58%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Queens Park Rangers F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Derby County F.C. or draw81%
- Draw or Queens Park Rangers F.C.42%
- Derby County F.C. or Queens Park Rangers F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- Derby County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Queens Park Rangers F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 57.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 127 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Queens Park Rangers F.C.: DDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 127 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Derby County F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 16 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.