Derby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.vsSouthampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.

Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.44%

Tofiko30% / 26% / 44%
  • Derby County F.C.
  • Draw
  • Southampton F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 44.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 136 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Southampton F.C.: LWWDD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 136 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C.2–1
2025-10-04Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSouthampton vs Derby21 Nov 2026 →