Derby County F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.44%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Southampton F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Derby County F.C. or draw56%
- Draw or Southampton F.C.70%
- Derby County F.C. or Southampton F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Derby County F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Southampton F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 44.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 115 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Southampton F.C.: WLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 115 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.