Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 21 Nov 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.57%
Tofiko57% / 23% / 20%
- Southampton F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 57.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Southampton F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Southampton F.C.: LWWDD
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.