Southampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.vsDerby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.

Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 21 Nov 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.57%

Tofiko57% / 23% / 20%
  • Southampton F.C.
  • Draw
  • Derby County F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 57.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Southampton F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Southampton F.C.: LWWDD

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C.2–1
2025-10-04Derby County F.C. vs Southampton F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Southampton F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureDerby vs Southampton6 Feb 2027 →