Stoke City F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.42%
Tofiko29% / 29% / 42%
- Stoke City F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 41.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Stoke City F.C.: WWDWW
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.