Stoke City F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.42%
- Stoke City F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Stoke City F.C. or draw58%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.71%
- Stoke City F.C. or Derby County F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Stoke City F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 41.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Stoke City F.C.: LWWWD
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Derby County F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.