Derby County F.C.vs
West Bromwich Albion F.C.Derby County F.C. 0-1 West Bromwich Albion F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipWed, 09 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.49%
- Derby County F.C. 49%
- Draw 24%
- West Bromwich Albion F.C. 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 48.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Derby County F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
Derby County F.C.: LLLWL
West Bromwich Albion F.C.: DWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Derby County F.C. vs West Bromwich Albion F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Derby County F.C. vs West Bromwich Albion F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | West Bromwich Albion F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs West Bromwich Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs West Bromwich Albion F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs West Bromwich Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.