Derby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.vsWest Ham United F.C. crestWest Ham United F.C.

Derby County F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Derby County F.C.50%

Tofiko50% / 25% / 25%
  • Derby County F.C.
  • Draw
  • West Ham United F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 50.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Derby County F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. West Ham United F.C.'s last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Derby County F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • West Ham United F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

West Ham United F.C.: DLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05West Ham United F.C. vs Derby County F.C.3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Derby County F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Derby County F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Derby County F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legWest Ham 3-0 Derby5 Sept 2026 →