West Ham United F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.West Ham United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.42%
- West Ham United F.C. 34%
- Draw 25%
- Derby County F.C. 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Derby County F.C., rating it at 41.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
West Ham United F.C.: DWLD
Derby County F.C.: LDLLD
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win West Ham United F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does West Ham United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.