West Ham United F.C. crestWest Ham United F.C.vsDerby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.

West Ham United F.C. 3-0 Derby County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs West Ham United F.C.43%

Tofiko43% / 23% / 34%
Market71% / 18% / 12%
  • West Ham United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Derby County F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick West Ham United F.C., rating it at 43.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and West Ham United F.C. won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. West Ham United F.C.'s last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Derby County F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • West Ham United F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

West Ham United F.C.: DLWWW

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05West Ham United F.C. vs Derby County F.C.3–0

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FAQ

Who will win West Ham United F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours West Ham United F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does West Ham United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the West Ham United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureDerby vs West Ham10 Apr 2027 →