Derby County F.C.vs
Wrexham A.F.C.Derby County F.C. 1-1 Wrexham A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.43%
Tofiko43% / 23% / 34%
Market32% / 28% / 40%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Wrexham A.F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 42.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Derby County F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Wrexham A.F.C.: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Derby County F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Derby County F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Wrexham A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.