?
Hull City A.F.C. crestHull City A.F.C.vsBirmingham City F.C. crestBirmingham City F.C.

Hull City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSat, 18 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Hull City A.F.C. 11 Birmingham City F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hull City A.F.C.50%

Hull City A.F.C. 50%
Draw 23%
Birmingham City F.C. 27%
  • Hull City A.F.C. 50%
  • Draw 23%
  • Birmingham City F.C. 27%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Hull City A.F.C., rating it at 50.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Hull City A.F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Hull City A.F.C.: DWWWW

Birmingham City F.C.: DWWLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-18Hull City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C.1–1
2025-10-18Birmingham City F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C.2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hull City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Hull City A.F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hull City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 18 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Hull City A.F.C. vs Birmingham City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.