Hull City A.F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipTue, 24 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Hull City A.F.C. 4–2 Derby County F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hull City A.F.C.45%
- Hull City A.F.C. 45%
- Draw 22%
- Derby County F.C. 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Hull City A.F.C., rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hull City A.F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Hull City A.F.C.: DWWWW
Derby County F.C.: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-24 | Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2025-11-04 | Derby County F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Hull City A.F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 24 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Hull City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.