Middlesbrough F.C.vs
Hull City A.F.C.Middlesbrough F.C. 0-1 Hull City A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipMon, 29 Dec 2025 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.53%
- Middlesbrough F.C. 53%
- Draw 22%
- Hull City A.F.C. 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 53.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Middlesbrough F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Middlesbrough F.C.'s last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Hull City A.F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Middlesbrough F.C.: WWLWW
Hull City A.F.C.: WDWDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Hull City A.F.C.(N) vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-05 | Hull City A.F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Middlesbrough F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Middlesbrough F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. kick off?
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Middlesbrough F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.