Hull City A.F.C. crestHull City A.F.C.vsSwansea City A.F.C. crestSwansea City A.F.C.

Hull City A.F.C. 2-1 Swansea City A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 24 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hull City A.F.C.50%

  • Hull City A.F.C. 50%
  • Draw 23%
  • Swansea City A.F.C. 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Hull City A.F.C., rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Hull City A.F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Hull City A.F.C.: WDWDL

Swansea City A.F.C.: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-24Hull City A.F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.2–1
2025-09-13Swansea City A.F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C.2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Hull City A.F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Hull City A.F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hull City A.F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 24 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Hull City A.F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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