Ipswich Town F.C. crestIpswich Town F.C.vsLeicester City F.C. crestLeicester City F.C.

Ipswich Town F.C. 1-1 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 07 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Ipswich Town F.C.67%

  • Ipswich Town F.C. 67%
  • Draw 19%
  • Leicester City F.C. 14%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Ipswich Town F.C., rating it at 66.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Ipswich Town F.C. won 1 of 5, with 2 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Ipswich Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Leicester City F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Ipswich Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Ipswich Town F.C.: LWWWW

Leicester City F.C.: DLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-25Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.3–1
2026-03-07Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.1–1
2025-12-13Leicester City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.3–1
2025-05-18Leicester City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.2–0
2024-11-02Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Ipswich Town F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 07 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

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