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Ipswich Town F.C. crestIpswich Town F.C.vsMiddlesbrough F.C. crestMiddlesbrough F.C.

Ipswich Town F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSun, 19 Apr 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Ipswich Town F.C. 22 Middlesbrough F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Ipswich Town F.C.50%

Ipswich Town F.C. 50%
Draw 24%
Middlesbrough F.C. 26%
  • Ipswich Town F.C. 50%
  • Draw 24%
  • Middlesbrough F.C. 26%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Ipswich Town F.C., rating it at 50.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Ipswich Town F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Ipswich Town F.C.: WWLLW

Middlesbrough F.C.: WDLDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-19Ipswich Town F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.2–2
2025-10-17Middlesbrough F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Ipswich Town F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Ipswich Town F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
Sun, 19 Apr 2026 11:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Ipswich Town F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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