Middlesbrough F.C. crestMiddlesbrough F.C.vsBurnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.

Middlesbrough F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipTue, 20 Apr 2027 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.57%

Tofiko57% / 24% / 19%
  • Middlesbrough F.C.
  • Draw
  • Burnley F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Middlesbrough F.C. or draw81%
  • Draw or Burnley F.C.43%
  • Middlesbrough F.C. or Burnley F.C.76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.545%
  • Under 2.555%

Both teams to score

  • Middlesbrough F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Burnley F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 56.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Middlesbrough F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Middlesbrough F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Middlesbrough F.C.: WWDDW

Burnley F.C.: DWDLD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-02Burnley F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Middlesbrough F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Middlesbrough F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
Tue, 20 Apr 2027 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Middlesbrough F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBurnley 1-1 Middlesbrough2 Sept 2026 →